Green Brick Partners Stock Performance

GRBK Stock  USD 75.27  2.77  3.82%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Green Brick holds a performance score of 12. The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 1.5, which attests to a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Green Brick will likely underperform. Please check Green Brick's downside variance, day median price, and the relationship between the treynor ratio and kurtosis , to make a quick decision on whether Green Brick's current trending patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Good

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Green Brick Partners are ranked lower than 12 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. Despite quite unsteady fundamental drivers, Green Brick disclosed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more

Actual Historical Performance (%)

One Day Return
3.82
Five Day Return
8.98
Year To Date Return
19.08
Ten Year Return
1.3 K
All Time Return
(64.19)
Last Split Factor
1532:1000
Last Split Date
2014-09-24
1
Insider Trading
11/07/2025
2
Disposition of 539349 shares by David Einhorn of Green Brick at 69.16 subject to Rule 16b-3
11/20/2025
3
Green Brick Partners Revisiting Valuation After a Strong MultiYear Share Price Run
12/19/2025
4
New Home Sales Permits Down Whats Next for the Housing Market
01/14/2026
5
Green Brick Partners Communities Earn Top Rankings in Regional and National Lists
01/16/2026
6
Meritage Homes Q4 Earnings Surpass Estimates
01/28/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow199.5 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities27.8 M

Green Brick Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,225  in Green Brick Partners on November 6, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  1,302  from holding Green Brick Partners or generate 20.92% return on investment over 90 days. Green Brick Partners is currently generating 0.3323% in daily expected returns and assumes 2.0552% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than Green, and 94% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Green Brick is expected to generate 2.75 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 2.75 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.16 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.12 per unit of risk.

Green Brick Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Green Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 75.27 90 days 75.27 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Green Brick to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Green Brick Partners probability density function shows the probability of Green Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.5 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Green Brick will likely underperform. Additionally Green Brick Partners has an alpha of 0.1263, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Green Brick Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Green Brick

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Green Brick Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
73.2175.2777.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
67.7484.7986.85
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
66.3468.3970.45
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
56.4262.0068.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Green Brick. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Green Brick's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Green Brick's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Green Brick Partners.

Green Brick Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Green Brick is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Green Brick's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Green Brick Partners, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Green Brick within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.50
σ
Overall volatility
3.66
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Green Brick Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Green Brick for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Green Brick Partners can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Green Brick Partners is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading

Green Brick Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Green Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Green Brick's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Green Brick's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding44.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments141.5 M

Green Brick Fundamentals Growth

Green Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Green Brick, and Green Brick fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Green Stock performance.

About Green Brick Performance

By examining Green Brick's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Green Brick's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Green Brick is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 582.88  773.82 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Capital Employed 0.21  0.22 
Return On Assets 0.15  0.16 
Return On Equity 0.21  0.22 

Things to note about Green Brick Partners performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Green Brick for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Green Brick Partners help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Green Brick Partners is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
Over 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Insider Trading
Evaluating Green Brick's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Green Brick's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Green Brick's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Green Brick's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Green Brick's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Green Brick's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Green Brick's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Green Brick's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Green Brick's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Green Brick's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Green Brick's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Green Brick Partners is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Green Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Green Brick Partners Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Green Brick Partners Stock:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Green Brick Partners. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
You can also try the Fundamentals Comparison module to compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Green Brick. Market participants price Green higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Green Brick assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.11)
Earnings Share
7.62
Revenue Per Share
48.045
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
Return On Assets
0.118
Green Brick Partners's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Green's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Green Brick's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Green Brick's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Green Brick's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Green Brick is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Green Brick's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.